Saturday, February 02, 2013

The 7 million population and the numbers we need to know.

Are we using people to grow the economy or using the economy to grow our people?

First, it was a 4.5 million figure in the 1990s projected for 2010 to 2020, then 4.5 million projected for 2040 – 2050. And now they are thrusting the 7 million figure by 2030 upon us. [Here]  

Khaw Boon Wan, the same guy paid who tried to convince us that healthcare cost is affordable with his $8 by-pass operation story, has now moved on to selling the story of good quality life with 7 million people. [Here] 

They have declared specific figures about the population size and the rate of economic growth they want for 2030, Singaporeans in turns need to know about the specific figures about on quality life by 2030 as we are supposed to benefit from this foreign influx.

On transport—private and public alike
Besides housing these extra 1.7 million people, KBW and his gang forget that people move around the island to commute to work, to run daily chores and to go schools.

Travelling comfort, efficiency and reliability are the deciding factors, not by the sheer number of new MRT lines, new MRT stations or interchanges.

Don’t forget that new lines will only bring in new commuters to the existing problem-infested MRT system, in addition to the extra loads from the 2030 population projection which may well become a reality even before 2030, as well as commuters from Malaysia when the line finally extends to Johor.

Therefore, we need projected figures for 2030 in these areas:

Public transport:
1.    Total number of commuters on the MRT system and public bus system during the peak hours.
2.    The distribution of commuters at each MRT and bus interchange during peak hour.
3.    The average number of trains which commuters have to wait at interchange before being able to squeeze on board during peak hours; the number of buses which commuters have to wait before being able to board during peak hours.
4.    Train and bus frequency during peak hours.
5.    Total number of commuters for each train station during peak hours.
6.    The frequency of train faults and bus break downs every week.
7.    The train and bus fare as a result of increased operation costs due to increased commuters.
8.    The average number of stops for each long-distance bus route.
9. The extra time required to cover the same 2013-bus route in 2030 during peak hours.

On the road,
1.    Total number of vehicles plying the roads during peak hours (buses, taxis, trucks, motorbikes inclusive please!).
2.    Total number of vehicles on each existing highway during peak hours.
3.    The total number of vehicles to be added onto the roads between 2013 to 2030.
4.    Price of COE across all groups.
5.    The total number of ERP gantries to solve 2030 congestions even though the 2013 congestion issues are not even resolved by the existing ERP gantries.
6.    The daily average of road accidents.
7.    The average time taken to cover the entire length of Bukit Timah road during peak hours in 2030 and the extra time required as compared to 2013.

On Healthcare
Apart from moving our aged parents to Johor for cheaper nursing care and getting them out of the way for the new immigrants, we should know the figures for:

1. The number of hospital beds to every 1000 patients.
2. The number of physicians to every 1000 patients.
3. Estimated queue time to book for specialist appointments.
4. Total number of healthcare workers required to support a 7 million population and whether this number is included in the 7 million population already.
5. Average number of patients at each polyclinic.
6. The average waiting time to see a doctor at polyclinics.
7. The average book time for a dental appointment at polyclinics.

On Housing
1. Prices for new flats for all flat-type.
2. Size of new flats for all flat-type

On Education
1. The class size for primary and secondary schools.
2. The total number of primary schools, secondary schools and colleges.
3. The number of places available for Singaporeans at local universities (private universities excluded please!).

On comfort
1.    The total number of people at coffeeshops, hawker centres, restaurants during each meal time for seven days a week.
2.    The total number of shoppers at neighbourhood shopping malls and central district shopping malls on weekends.

Admittedly, the list is non-exhaustive. However, if they cannot project the figures for the above as accurate as their population and economic target, how could we trust the quality life which they depicted for us?

And when the figures in the above areas are far from satisfying in our current 5.3 million population figure situation, it is a mystery of how the 7 million figure would translate into better quality life than now.

By 2030, Singapore will no longer remain a multi-racial country but a multi-national country (MNC) instead. Realistically, we would need multi-national MPs/ministers to represent the interest of each nationality such as Myanmese, Indonesians, Vietnamese, Filipinos, PRC and Indians. Since we are on the note of projecting figures, they might want to project the size of GRC too for 2030.